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📊 BTC On-Chain Update Bitcoin remains trapped below the cost-basis level of buyers from the past two years. Coins purchased 6–12 months ago now have an average cost basis of around $86.7K, down from the $88K level reported last week. This zone continues to act as a major resistance. BTC needs to reclaim it to improve the market outlook.$BTC

Bitcoin is currently trading around $80,137, attempting to recover after a recent pullback from the $81,000–$81,500 region. Price has moved back toward the short-term moving averages, but BTC is still facing resistance around $80,300–$80,450. The market is showing signs of stabilization after the recent decline. However, buyers need to reclaim the $81,000–$81,500 zone to strengthen the recovery. Holding above the $79,800 area is important to prevent further downside pressure. EMA Structure * 20 EMA: $79,814.41 * 50 EMA: $80,058.19 * 100 EMA: $77,777.77 * 200 EMA: $76,493.96 BTC is trading slightly above all four EMAs, suggesting that the broader recovery structure remains intact. However, the 20 and 50 EMAs are close to the current price, making the $79,800–$80,100 region an important short-term support area. A sustained move above the $80,450 resistance zone would improve the immediate bullish outlook. Fibonacci Levels Based on the chart: * 0.236: Around $79,800 * 0.382: $80,447.51 * 0.5: $82,872.80 * 0.618: Around $100,000 * 0.786: $112,053.30 * 1.0: $123,238.15 BTC is currently trading around the lower Fibonacci retracement area. Reclaiming $80,447 would be an important step toward a recovery, while the next major Fibonacci resistance is near $82,872. Bullish Scenario If BTC maintains support above $79,800 and breaks through the nearby resistance zone, buyers could attempt a move toward: $80,289–$80,447 $81,018 $81,509 $82,297 $82,872 $83,916 $86,523 A sustained breakout above $81,509 would strengthen the short-term recovery structure. A move above $82,872 could open the path toward the $83,916–$86,523 resistance region. Pullback Scenario If BTC fails to hold above $79,800 and selling pressure increases, the following support levels become important: * $79,814 — 20 EMA * $80,058 — 50 EMA * $77,777 — 100 EMA * $77,562 * $77,447 * $77,298–$77,111 * $76,542–$76,493 — 200 EMA area * $75,982 * $71,543 A sustained move below $79,800 would weaken the immediate recovery and could expose the $77,777–$77,100 support region. Losing that area would increase the risk of a deeper correction toward the $76,500 zone. RSI Momentum * RSI: 49.74 * RSI Signal Average: 41.38 RSI has recovered toward the neutral 50 level and is currently above its signal average. This indicates improving momentum, although bullish strength is not yet firmly established. A sustained move above 50–55 would support further recovery, while a drop below 45 could indicate renewed selling pressure. Market Structure & Liquidity BTC has recovered from the $76,000–$77,000 region and previously rallied toward the $81,000 area. However, the latest price action shows a pullback and consolidation around $80,000. The current price is trading near the 20 and 50 EMAs, with resistance building around $80,300–$80,450. Buyers need to reclaim the recent resistance levels to confirm that bullish momentum is returning. The broader recovery remains constructive while BTC holds above the $77,100–$77,700 support region. However, a decisive breakout above $81,509 is needed to strengthen the bullish continuation scenario. Key Levels Resistance * $80,289–$80,447 * $81,018 * $81,509 * $82,297 * $82,872 * $83,916 * $86,523 Support * $79,814 * $80,058 * $77,777 * $77,562–$77,447 * $77,298–$77,111 * $76,542–$76,493 * $75,982 * $71,543 Final Outlook BTC is showing early signs of stabilization around $80K, with RSI recovering toward neutral and price trading slightly above its major EMAs. A sustained move above $80,447 could open the way toward $81,509, followed by $82,872 and $83,916. On the downside, losing $79,814 would increase the risk of a correction toward $77,777–$77,100. Bias: Neutral to cautiously bullish while holding above $79,800 | Breakout above $81,509 could open the path toward $82,872–$83,916. These levels are based on the November 4, 2026 chart and represent potential scenarios, not guaranteed price movements. $BTC

$BTC Really nice reaction from that zone. Price absorbed all the bad news: Stocks down / tech stocks sell-off Binance $6.3B security breach Heavy Bitcoin ETF outflows US midterm election uncertainty $1.5B+ market liquidations Bears had plenty of reasons to push the price lower, but bulls came out really strong. $81K–$83K is a very strong area that bulls need to break. Once price breaks and holds above it, I think it could be over for the bears waiting for much lower prices. The least we want see is price holds above $78k, if it does, the breakout will eventually come.

Following their midterm election sweep that secured majorities in both chambers of Congress, House Democrats are exploring plans to introduce a broader crypto market structure bill in the next Congress, according to industry sources. The effort builds on elements of the stalled Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) while incorporating previously unadopted Democratic proposals, including those advanced by Rep. Maxine Waters. Crypto advocates, including Bitcoin historian Pete Rizzo, have highlighted the development as evidence that both parties now support establishing rules for the sector, potentially reducing regulatory uncertainty for assets like Bitcoin. The original CLARITY Act passed the House in July 2025 by a 294-134 vote, with support from 78 Democrats, before failing a Senate cloture vote 49-50 in September. The bill sought to clarify oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for digital assets. It dies at the end of the current Congress on January 3, 2027, unless revived in a lame-duck session. Democrats’ control of the next Congress shifts the legislative landscape, with figures like Waters positioned to influence financial services priorities. Reports indicate House Democrats are discussing expanding Waters’ 2025 amendment and related investor protection proposals into a comprehensive framework. Key elements under consideration include granting the SEC a larger role over crypto markets, narrowing the CFTC’s jurisdiction, and adding stronger ethics provisions that would restrict President Donald Trump and other federal officials from engaging in cryptocurrency activities. Republicans have described the effort as largely a “messaging bill.” These discussions draw from terms Senate Democrats had negotiated with Republicans before the September procedural vote. Senator Angela Alsobrooks (D-MD), who participated in months of negotiations and voted to advance the bill out of the Senate Banking Committee before opposing the final cloture vote over ethics concerns, has emphasized the need for rules that enable safe participation. In remarks highlighted in recent discussions, she noted the importance of digital assets for economic opportunity and generational wealth, while stressing consumer protections and measures to reduce risks such as deposit flight from stablecoin yields. Alsobrooks has stated she supports regulating the technology in a way that protects Americans while allowing innovation. Analysts differ on the outlook. TD Cowen’s Jaret Seiberg has argued that the Democratic majorities, combined with potential investigations into Trump family crypto ventures such as World Liberty Financial, make an industry-supported version of market structure legislation unlikely for at least two years. Others note that more than 70 House Democrats previously backed the CLARITY Act and suggest a bipartisan path remains possible if the next version includes robust consumer safeguards and conflict-of-interest rules. Crypto political spending exceeded $170 million in the cycle, yet the industry’s preferred framework still failed under prior Republican control. For Bitcoin ($BTC )and the broader digital asset market, the development underscores that regulatory clarity is advancing, even if the final form favors greater SEC authority and ethics restrictions than the Republican-led draft. Markets have shown sensitivity to legislative signals, with Bitcoin experiencing volatility around prior Clarity Act votes. Whether a Democratic-led version accelerates institutional adoption through clearer rules or introduces new constraints will depend on negotiations in the 119th Congress.